Yeah. That guy. |
The whole thing started when Peter Ravn Rasmussen--a pompous ass who publicly declared, "I know almost everything. Truly."--took issue with a post I wrote about the "74 school shootings" myth that was winding its way through the Internet.
Unable to refute my point, he instead took issue with my use of the word "randomly," suggesting that rather than "randomly" selecting the examples I used to make my case, I had actually copied them from a Glen Beck article on the same topic. The only problem was no such Glen Beck article existed. It seems Peter R. Rasmussen, "Super Genius," simply made the whole thing up.
Now, as most of you know, I like a good argument. And I am (generally) willing to admit when I'm wrong. But I don't cotton to being called a plagiarist and a liar so--after giving him fair warning--I unleashed a bit of American diplomacy on his highly educated...self.
In retrospect, it was probably not a good use of my time to lock horns with a guy who has a webpage dedicated to his college report card. (Apparently, his mother's refrigerator door wasn't recognition enough.) But when you get called a liar by the type of guy who posts this on the web, well, you just gotta take a stand.
"[O]ver the past few years, I have been studying history at Copenhagen University, in Denmark. During that time, my grades have been unfailingly high, and I have managed to achieve a BA with one of the highest grade averages in university history. Obviously, this presents me with a unique chance to brag - and to be perfectly frank, I am incapable of resisting the temptation."
The following is the exchange between me and the current Dane of my existence. I apologize in advance for the earthy language.
June 11 at 6:55pm
Peter Ravn Rasmussen: Want to do the math on the probability
that you would "randomly" select precisely the same incidents that
Glenn Beck seized on?
June 11 at 7:26pm
John Doyle: I'd love to let you all carry on without
interruption, but I do need to straighten out one commenter. Peter, I haven't
even seen Beck's piece, so you'll have to save your polemics for some other
angle of attack on my post. To the extent that I started my investigation with
Fresno because I lived there once, I plead guilty. The rest were selected as
randomly as I could manage (what with my ACME List Randomizer still in the shop
and all) -- so while truly not random, they certainly weren't selected to suit
an agenda. That is all. Carry on.
June 11 at 7:35pm
Peter Ravn Rasmussen 0.0000000000013919687 That's quite an
achievement. Sure you're not psychic?
June 11 at 7:39pm
Peter Ravn Rasmussen: Seriously, dude, can you give me next
week's lotto numbers?
June 11 at 7:42pm
John Doyle: As of this moment I haven't seen his post. Send
me a link. And generally speaking, I can only be polite about being called a
liar for just ... so ... long, as anyone who knows me well will attest. Tread
lightly, chum.
June 11 at 7:50pm
John Doyle: Hey Pete, I can't even find a Beck post about
the shooting. You've called me a liar twice, now I (and the class) want to see
the "evidence." Cough it up.
June 11 at 11:39pm
John Doyle: Hey, Peter Ravn Rasmussen. Still waiting on the
Glenn Beck link. Step to it, man! Lives are at stake.
June 12 at 1:13am
Peter Ravn Rasmussen: I do have to sleep and work some time,
you know, John -- and being in a different time zone means I do that at my
convenience, not yours. Sitting here over my morning coffee, I can't presently
find the Glenn Beck list I referenced (I don't go making bookmarks of his
ravings, as you well know). So, if it comes down to that, I have no link to
reference (mostly because my google-fu can't find it right now -- but if I do,
I will link it later).
But let's just for the sake of argument take the Blaze
article referenced above, and consider it. Your list, which you call random,
coincides in 5 of its 10 "not a 'school shooting' because reasons"
instances with the Blaze list of 31 incidents. So what's the probability of
that, assuming you did what you claim, and just drew ten random numbers? 0.01054773662
About 100 to 1.
If that's random, John, it's a highly improbable outcome. Now, if you'd just started out by saying, "I've looked
at the list, and there are some cases that strike me as problematic", you
would have been on perfectly sound ground -- you might even have gotten me to
agree that some of them should have been avoided. Even though the 74 listed
incidents were selected by a quite transparent methodology, that doesn't mean
the method could not have been refined to be more convincing, by leaving out
some of the cases. I'd have been the first to admit that. But you had to go and poke my math-brain by claiming that
your list was "random". Not the smartest move.
June 12 at 9:23 am
John Doyle: Peter Ravn Rasmussen, I'm going to
"unfriend" you now. But before I do I want to you to know that if you
had pulled this stunt within 200 miles of me--calling me a liar and then
blaming ME when you couldn't back up your slander--I would have taken the time
to track you down to discuss this face to face. Adios, mother fucker.
You really need to stop poking peoples math brains.
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